Political game Research Paper Assignment

Political game

Order Instructions:

III. Political game
This project is based on using a relevant game to analyse a real (and current) political unrest.
? Collect information by:
1. Reading news/media updates about an aspect of a political situation.
2. Observe the tactics/strategies employed by both “players”.
3. Observe the external environment of the situation.
Formulate the following based on your observation and data collection
1. Rules of the game (players, strategies, responses, payoffs, etc)
2. Choices, incentive and decisions of players in this game

My part is doing Hong Kong’s democratic movement which continues right now, i will upload my team member, just follow what he did in his report is fine. the players in the game should be different group of HK people

SAMPLE ANSWER

Introduction

Hong Kong is one of the largest cities of China today and it’s located strategically in the South of the China Sea. Hong Kong prides itself as a major global economical center that has a lot of influence in global finance and transportation. Before the year 1997, Hong Kong was still a British Protectorate. As the heart of the Cantonese China, Hong Kong was eventually transferred to the Chinese authorities in 1997 who promised to respect the rule of law and also to uphold its democracy. However, after its incorporation into the Chinese governmental authority, the Chinese government went back on its promises and at the end of August 2014, the Chinese government issued a directive that it would select the candidates who would run in the following executive election for high office in Hong Kong. By issuing the directive, the residents of Hong Kong felt that the Chinese government had interfered with the city’s election and mass protests ensued. (Carroll, 2007) The large, pro-democracy groups and other protesters blocked the roads hindering business, transportation, economics and industry operations in the general Chinese economy. The Chinese government battled for the entire control of the city’s economy and administrative functions while the residents and the anti-Chinese government protesters fought for the extension of its status quo as allowed by the British government. Hong Kong had greater autonomy and operated under its own by-laws through open democratic processes and the economy thrived because of the open democratic and capitalistic systems. (Zhang, Nathan, Link & Schell, 2002)

China detests Hong Kong’s robust democratic institutions like the judicial institution that has qualified international judges and the existence of the press freedom law. Hong Kong’s election process is also more democratic than the Chinese election that requires more than 150 council supporters to qualify one to run for political office.

The constant clashes between the law enforcement agencies and the pro-democracy supporters, has resulted in reduced economic activities and has also led to relocation of the city’s best brains and businesses. The western countries have also placed an embargo on all imports from

In the Financial world, Hong Kong is one of the major cities of China. It has exports close to $457 billion in 2013 most of which are exported to China. While at the same time, importing goods mostly from China worth $521 Billion for the same period. The major industries are textile, banking, electronics, shipping, watches, toys and plastics. The main income earning business is the service industry which accounts for almost 90% of its GDP. The GDP growth was 7.2% in the first quarter of the year 2011 while the GDP per Capita was US$50,936 PPP in 2012.

China wants to control the resources of these vast city but the citizens have put up a fight to maintain its conservative British style of government. If the standoff persists both the Chinese government and the residents would lose. The Chinese government would certainly lose its taxes and business prospects while the citizens would lose jobs, business profits and other earnings and most of the foreign countries in the western world would also lose their exports of arms sales that they were exporting to China.

The two agents are faced with a dilemma; Prisoners Dilemma as shown in the table below.

Prisoners Dilemma game

While Russia would lose one its economic major cities if it continues with its regular clashes with the protesters and the economic costs and also the consequences of such actions would be huge. The prisoners dilemma in these case explains the options available to China and the foreign nations including the EU that have already placed embargoes on arm sales to China because its handling of the protesters during the Tiananmen square demonstration and the interference of the Hong Kong democratic elections. (Youngs, 2002) The payoffs have been measured generally as a percentage of the Hong Kong’s GDP growth and the outcomes of the arms embargoes placed on Chinese government and the constant interruptions of the trading district. (Suettinger, 2004)

The table indicates the direct outcomes of the prisoner’s dilemma game. We make the assumptions that the players on both sides are rational and they are all aware of their outcomes and strategies applied.

The values shown on the payoff matrix are not real but have been used to demonstrate the economic results of the exercise. The inability of China to import arms from the US would also impact on the US economy just as much as it would affect the Chinese government when it has again to negotiate other arms deals with different countries.

To analyze the economic situation depending on the strategy adopted;

If both countries cooperate and the clashes are eliminated, the protesters would benefit just as much as the US would be able to export its arms to china and both countries would benefit economically hence positive economic growth.

One country can choose to cooperate and the other refuses. In respect to our last assumption the countries would be entitled to respective payoffs. One country defects and accommodates the other one hence the country would be less affected and benefit. As a result, the defected country would experience less economic growth than the one that accommodated the other one.

In another scenario but countries may decide defect/defect. Both countries may decide to impose trade restrictions to each other and they would be worse off while their economies would bear the weight of their unwise decisions.

The unlikely outcome in a game theory is what actually happened when both players decided to opt for the least option of defect/defect and which goes against any grain of economic principles. Its not possible to predict how the Chinese government is planning to deal with the Hong Kong issue as its recent economic trends is gradually reducing compared to the earlier years when it was still under the British rule. The Hong Kong residents are still determined to fight on till their demands are addressed. The ideologically and political history of the Chinese have a lot in common with the Russian Government and its predictable that they would not be relenting on their determination to secure and control the vibrant economy of the world most vibrant financial city notwithstanding the colossal economical costs that may be incurred because of their actions

References

Carroll, J. M. A. (2007) Concise History of Hong Kong. Rowman & Littlefield.

Suettinger, R. L. (2004). Beyond Tiananmen: The Politics of U.S.-China Relations 1989–2000. Brookings Institution Press. p. 105

Youngs, R. (2002) The European Union and the Promotion of Democracy, Oxford University Press

Zhang, L., Nathan, A. J., Link, P. & Schell O. (2002) The Tiananmen Papers: 

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