For this assignment, read the case study, “Best Homes, Inc.: Forecasting” on pages 447 – 448 of your textbook. Once you have read and reviewed the case scenario, respond to the following questions with thorough explanations and well-supported rationale:
What forecasting methods should the company consider? Please justify.
Use the classical decomposition method to forecast average demand for 2016 by month. What is your forecast of monthly average demand for 2016?
Best Homes is also collecting sales projections from each of its regions for 2016. What role should these additional sales projections play, along with the forecast from question 2, in determining the final national forecast?
Your response must be a minimum of three -two pages, and APA style must be followed when writing your response. References must include your textbook plus a minimum of one additional credible reference. All sources used, including the textbook, must be referenced; paraphrased and quoted material must have accompanying in-text citations.
Information about accessing the Blackboard Grading Rubric for this assignment is provided below.
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This assignment consists of reading the following scenario and composing a paper regarding what managers must do to lead change and achieve their goals through planning and prioritization.
This Assignment will be used to assess the following Course Outcomes:
AB140-3: Discuss the steps to manage change.
PC-2.1: Achieve goals through planning and prioritization.
You are owner and executive level manager of a food and beverage shop which has eight locations. Your strategic goal is to expand this business over the next 5 years. Your business has a great problem: An increase in the number of customers! However, employees have been consistently reporting that they are overwhelmed by the volume of customers. Additionally, your frontline and middle level managers have noticed that the number of reported errors in customer orders has increased. You have decided to adopt an electronic customer ordering system that will allow customers to input their own orders at touch-screen computer kiosks located within each store. Employees will focus on preparing each order as it appears on a screen in the food preparation area. This will address the issue of employees being overwhelmed by the increased pace of the workplace while also improving accuracy and speed in fulfilling customers’ orders
You have decided to first communicate your decision to the eight location managers who report to you in an email communication. You are aware of how important it is to exhibit professionalism and business etiquette in constructing this email message to the managers. It is important for you to gain the support of the managers since they will have key roles in leading this change at the shop level. The main focus of this message is to describe the intended implementation and achieve your goals with planning and prioritization, following each of the eight steps in the process for leading change.
Following the eight steps to leading change (which start with establishing a sense of urgency and end with anchoring new approaches in the culture, as well as the other required reading from the text, compose an email communication (type it in a Word document). This email will be from you to the location managers describing what they must be aware of and do to manage this change in technology to automated customer service. After you have completed the email message to the location managers (in a Word document), address the following questions in the remainder of your paper:
Is email an effective channel to send this message? Why or why not? What are potential communication pitfalls in this scenario, and how can they be avoided?
In summary: In a Word document, compose an email message from you to the location managers (shop managers) explaining the steps necessary to manage this new technology change, and addressing the questions above concerning this communication channel and its potential pitfalls. Note: The main portion of your paper consists of the message about the change, written from the perspective of you to the managers and following the protocol laid out in the eight steps to leading change from your text. After you have composed the message to the managers, address the other parts of the assignment regarding the effectiveness of email as a channel to communicate this message and potential communication pitfalls in this scenario.
Minimum Submission Requirements:
Your paper should be at least 2 full double-spaced pages in length, using size 12-point font in Word.
Be sure your paper is well written in paragraph form, with correct spelling, grammar, and punctuation.
Be sure to name your file according to the following file-naming convention: username_homework_unit#.doc.
You may use external sources in addition to the required readings. Cite any external sources used.
Your paper must be written in Standard English and demonstrate exceptional content, organization, style, grammar, and mechanics.
Your paper should provide a clearly established and sustained viewpoint and purpose.
Your writing should be well ordered, logical, and unified, as well as original and insightful.
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The purpose of this writing assignment is to evaluate the current method of judicial selection in Texas and consider whether an alternative method might be more desirable. Please use the following outline to structure this 2 page, typed, double-spaced paper.
Explain how Texas judges (with the exception of municipal judges) are selected. Describe some potential problems with this type of selection process. Examples may include the perception of justice being bought, possibility that there is favoritism towards attorneys who donate to a judge’s political campaign, political pressure to impose harsher penalties, etc. (40 points)
What are some options for change? Some examples may be judicial appointment by the governor, or the creation of a commission to appoint judges. (20 points)
III. Make a recommendation, considering the political realities of Texas. Would legislators of one or both parties oppose your recommendation? Would the public be interested in such changes or would they be indifferent. What are the chances of your recommendation being passed by the legislature? (20 points)
Draw a final conclusion about the need for a change in the way judges are selected in Texas and the political feasibility of your recommendation. In this section I will also take into consideration the format, spelling and grammatical aspects of the paper. 20 points
Use your textbook as your resource on this paper, but do not plagiarize the textbook.
The textbook Author: Champagne, Anthony, Edward J. Harpham, and Jason P. Casellas
Publisher: W.W. Norton
Edition: 3rd
ISBN: 978-0-393-28367-9
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2.How does the Roman Republican Temple of Portunus in Rome reflect both Greek and Etruscan styles? Remember: Write your response in full and complete sentences. No bullet point answers will be accepted.
What is the message of the Portrait of the Four Tetrarchs? How do the Portrait of the Four Tetrarchs show a turn away from the Classical representations of figures and towards symbolic representation?
Part V: Two essay questions
Demonstrate your mastery of subject by using specific terms and historical information as necessary. DO NOT USE BULLET POINTS. ALWAYS WRITE IN FULL SENTENCES.
Select three Roman Emperor portraits that you think best demonstrate the evolution of the Roman Empire –one each from the Early, High, and Late Imperial periods. How does each artwork illustrate the cultural change of the period?
2.Using the Flavian Amphitheater, Forum of Trajan, and the Pantheon, evaluate the role of Imperial architecture in the construction of a Roman identity. Explain each site’s physical construction and function and establish their specific cultural significance in representing the power of the Empire.
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Select either free will or fate and argue for what you’ve selected. As you do so use at least two of the philosophical positions from Aristotle, Frankana, Kant, Rand,or Mill.
Paper structure:
I) Provide an opening paragraph which briefly sketches the topic you selected and your position concerning it.
II) Explain the main arguments concerning the topic. As you do so take care to provide key definitions and use examples when helpful.
III) Develop your position by providing the reasons supporting your position.
IV) Provide a closing paragraph which briefly explains why someone should accept your position.
The analysis section should include the following sections:
1- Model Building: Explain your model in terms of the “cause and effect” i.e. clarify the dependent and the independent variables in your model. State and explain your hypothesis (theory) about a possible relationship between your dependent and the independent variables i.e. the type and the direction of the relationship between these variables should be explained. Example “there is a significant direct (or indirect) linear relationship between Var1 and Var2”. If you wanted to develop a multi-variable model, what other factors you would have included in your model. Explain the determination of the independent and the dependent variable in your model.
2- Visualization Step: Develop a scatter diagram and conclude if there appears to be a linear or a non-linear relationship between your variables.
3- Estimation Step: Estimate the regression line. Calculate and INTERPRET the estimated slope Calculate and INTERPRET the estimated intercept.
4- Goodness of Fit: Calculate the coefficient of determination and comment on the goodness of fit. Interpret your finding.
5- Strength of linear relationship: Calculate and INTERPRET the estimated correlation coefficient. Comment on the measure of strength of the linear relationship.
6- Test of the Strength: Test the significance of the strength of linear relationship between the two variables at 1% and then at 10% level of significance. Interpret your finding. Comment on the p-value.
7- Test of the Significance: Test the significance of the linear relationship between the two variables at 5%and then at 10% level of significance. Interpret your finding. Comment on the P-value.
8- Prediction Step: Use the estimated regression equation and forecast the value of Y based on a given value of X.
9- If you wanted to develop a multi-variable model, what other factors you would have included in your model
10- Develop a multivariate model of at least 2 independent variables. Compare to your earlier model, do you get more explanatory power? Comment on the coefficients and check the significance of the model as well as each independent variable.
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In 8-10 pages, you will write a fictional story based on actual events. Consider a well-known historical event that began and ended before you were born. Conduct research on the event for clarification of dates and names of historical figures. Given what the history books say about the event, use that as a springing off point to begin your story. The idea is to hone in on one major aspect of the historical event using specific major players and giving as much detail as possible. Your topic is subject to approval. Below are specifics for each element:
Character development – You will have at least one named character in the narrative, about which you will give the audience a description, physical and otherwise, of this character. Besides the main character, there should be at least one other character. Each character should have specific identifying factors and should be distinguishable from one another.
Narration – You will move the text forward, set the story line, the setting, and move dialogue forward with narration. Narration provides context, gives detail and provides insight to the story as a whole. Your descriptive language will mostly be used in narration.
Dialogue – Characters should talk to each other. Though you may also include inner monologue, you want to have characters talk to each other. This should be punctuated correctly and have appropriate dialogue tags.
Setting – You will create a description of the setting beyond what is presented in the history books.
Story line – The narrative should move from one time to the next. A linear story line means that it begins at the beginning and moves forward to the end. A non-linear story line may not begin at the beginning and does not move to the end sequentially. Either way, the narrative should have a clear beginning, middle, and end.
Format Requirements
12 point Times New Roman Font
8-10 pages double spaced
Provocative title that gives insight into the story and event
Last name and page number in upper right header
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What problem(s) or question(s) does this research seek to address? (1-2 sentences)
What, according to the research article, is significant about the problem(s) or question(s)? (1-2 sentences)
What has previous research said about the problem(s) or question(s) (2-3 sentences)
What is the theoretical contribution? In other words, what explanatory framework does the author provide for the problem(s) or question(s)? (2-3 sentences)
If the article is based on empirical research, what methods were used, e.g. survey, interview, historical analysis, observation? (1-2 sentences)
If the article is based on empirical research, what were the main findings? (2-3 sentences)
To what degree do the findings support the theoretical framework of the author? (2-3 sentences)
Based on the evidence and argument, do you agree with the author’s conclusions? Why or why not? (2-3 sentences)
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An essay question is given below. This question constitutes a controversial issue in the Civil War period. Your job is to be the historian, take a stance on the issue, and use historical evidence from your notes, the textbook, and the primary source book This Fiery Trial to substantiate your argument. You will not be graded on your point of view; but rather, you will be graded on how well you employ historical evidence in order to prove your thesis statement and your supporting arguments. Also, I have included a prompt on the rules for good historical essays and a breakdown of a sample historian’s argument regarding Indians. Your essay should be structured in a similar way.
You have a whole week in order to prepare for this essay question, so it is advisable for you to go back and peruse your class notes and your text, and write out a rough draft for the question before you submit your final draft. Do not allow the final question to catch you unawares. Remember where there is a will, there is an A!
The total points for the final is 150 pts. That is 1/3 of your grade! You will be graded on the quality of your explanation and on the breadth and suitability of the historical examples given. Your essay should be relevant to the question, and the information presented in a clear, logical and coherent fashion.
There is no page limit on this essay. What matters for this paper is quality over quantity; namely, if you can beautifully articulate your point in two pages, then that is fine. If it takes you ten pages, then that is okay too. However, the more relevant evidence you adduce, the more convincing your arguments, and, thus, the better your grade.
You must cite your sources! You may use Chicago style or MLA format—just so long as you professionally give credit where it is due. Plagiarism is a heinous crime in academia, so those who plagiarize or cheat on this test will be drawn and quartered; namely, you run the risk of exam disqualification and a course F. Be warned!
As regards to your research, the question requires content that can be derived partly from my lectures (Module 7: The American Civil War) and partly from the Norton text (chapters 11, 12, and 13). Also, it is highly advisable that you peruse your This Fiery Trial book in order to cull primary source evidence on Lincoln’s position regarding American slavery. Also, feel free to pursue wider research, beyond the course materials, if you are so motivated. It will pay dividends in the quality of your answer. Just make sure that you consult credible academic sources and be wary of sources like Wikipedia!
Lastly, some advice for my students. It has been my goal in this class to not only teach you all history, but also, I have sought to teach you the tools of the historian: how to identify historical significance, how to analyze historical primary sources, and how to construct a historical argument. It is my hope that by the end of this class, you will not only have learned American history, but you will also have become a historian in the process. And one rule historians live by is to always contextualize their subject! That means that when you judge Lincoln in your essay, you may not judge him against 21st century standards. To hold a historical subject against one’s own modern standards makes for very bad history. Therefore, when you examine Lincoln or cast your judgment on him, compare him to his peers and judge him against the standards of the 19th century. This will make you sound like a professional and objective historian.
Please professionally respond to the following question:
Arrays are one of the basic data structures used in most programming languages. For this assignment, you will explore the use of arrays. Complete the following:
Describe how arrays are implemented in Java.
Provide Java code to illustrate how to create an array, reference an array, and address an element of an array.
Create a flowchart, and provide the corresponding pseudocode to show how to sort an array using the bubble sort.
Create a flowchart, and provide the corresponding pseudocode to show how to search an array for a specified value using the sequential search algorithm.
Please submit your assignment in a single MS Word document:
Note: Diagrams created in separate programs should be copied and pasted into your document for submission
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